The False Promise of Belt And Road Initiative: Case Study of Indigenous Land Dispossesion in North Maluku, Tapanuli, North Kalimantan, and Riau Islands (Rempang)

The False Promise of Belt And Road Initiative: Case Study of Indigenous Land Dispossesion in North Maluku, Tapanuli, North Kalimantan, and Riau Islands (Rempang)

Vol. VI / No. 6 | September 2025

Authors:
Gibraltar Andibya Muhammad & Rozan Firdaus Permana,
Department Assistant, University of Indonesia

Summary
This commentary explores the adverse impacts of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) on local indigenous communities in Indonesia. The paper highlights how infrastructure projects under BRI have led to significant socio-cultural disruptions, including displacement of indigenous peoples and loss of traditional lands, which are critical to their cultural heritage and identity, mainly in North Maluku, Tapanuli, North Kalimantan, and Riau Islands (Rempang). Furthermore, it addresses environmental degradation resulting from large-scale construction activities such as deforestation, habitat destruction, and pollution, which threaten biodiversity and the livelihoods of local communities. The study calls for a balanced approach that considers the rights and needs of indigenous populations while pursuing developmental projects.

Keywords: Belt and Road Inititative (BRI), indigenous communities, development, environment 

The False Promise of Belt And Road Initiative: Case Study of Indigenous Land Dispossesion in North Maluku, Tapanuli, North Kalimantan, and Riau Islands (Rempang)

Baby Bonds and the Quest for Socioeconomic Equality in Indonesia

Vol. VI / No. 5 | July 2025

Authors:
Tora Pandito, BSc Graduate from the Faculty of Economics at the University of Brawijaya, and former Researcher at United Nations Association

Summary
 Indonesia’s socioeconomic progress has been marked by declining poverty alongside with rising inequality. One promising policy gaining traction in developed countries is the concept of Baby Bonds, which provides publicly funded trust accounts for every child at birth, offering greater financial support to those from lower-income families. By helping households gradually accumulate assets, Baby Bonds could enhance social mobility and reduce intergenerational poverty. However, successfully adapting this policy to Indonesia will require careful attention to regional disparities, low financial literacy, and unequal access to financial services. Effective implementation will also depend on strong regulations, targeted financial education, and investments in inclusive financial infrastructure. Sustainable financing will call for tax reforms that raise tax revenue without overburdening existing taxpayers, while international experience and pilot programs can offer practical guidance. Complementary policies and ongoing evaluation will help tailor Baby Bonds to Indonesia’s context, and if thoughtfully designed and supported, this initiative could foster greater socioeconomic inclusion and a more resilient, equitable future.

Keywords: Baby Bonds, socioeconomic inequality, political economy, poverty reduction

The False Promise of Belt And Road Initiative: Case Study of Indigenous Land Dispossesion in North Maluku, Tapanuli, North Kalimantan, and Riau Islands (Rempang)

Geopolitical Dualism: The Strategic Dissonance of Philippine Defence Posture in the Shadow of U.S.-China Rivalry

Vol. VI / No. 4 | July 2025

Authors:
Christopher Paller Gerale, Student at State University of Malang, Indonesia

Summary
The Philippines occupies a geostrategically pivotal position in the Indo-Pacific, yet its defence posture reveals a profound lack of harmony between declaratory principles and operational conduct. While it concurrently espouses a doctrine of independent foreign policy, Manila amplifies its security alignment with Washington—manifested through the expansion of the Enhanced Defence Cooperation Agreement (EDCA), increased joint military exercises such as the annual Exercise Balikatan (Shoulder-to-shoulder), and the revival of strategic interoperability—and sustains economic entanglements with Beijing. This split in strategic direction underscores a deeper phenomenon of geopolitical dualism, wherein Manila’s external alignments and internal narratives remain discordant. Rather than a calibrated hedging strategy, the Philippines exhibits ad hoc and reactive behaviour, shaped by elite fragmentation, institutional incoherence, and enduring postcolonial imbalances rooted in colonial history. In the context of an increasingly volatile U.S.-China strategic competition, such dissonance not only compromises national security credibility but also exacerbates the risks of entrapment, abandonment, strategic marginalization, and regional instability in regards to ASEAN Centrality. Rectifying this incoherence necessitates a fundamental rearticulation of Philippine grand strategy—one that is grounded in sovereign agency, coherent threat perception, and a long-term vision for its role within the regional security architecture.

Keywords: Geopolitical Dualism; Strategic Dissonance; Philippine Defence Posture; the Philippines; US-China Rivalry

The False Promise of Belt And Road Initiative: Case Study of Indigenous Land Dispossesion in North Maluku, Tapanuli, North Kalimantan, and Riau Islands (Rempang)

The BRICS Advantage: What’s at Stake for Indonesia in a Multipolar World?

Vol. VI / No. 3 | March 2025

Authors:
Tora Pandito, BSc Graduate from the Faculty of Economics at the University of Brawijaya, and former Researcher at United Nations Association.

Summary
The global movement toward de-dollarization, primarily championed by BRICS countries, seeks to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar in trade and finance. Indonesia’s alignment with BRICS could significantly reshape its economic and geopolitical trajectory. With the U.S. dollar’s longstanding dominance granting the U.S. leverage in international finance, BRICS’ alternative currency initiatives aim to diversify global reserve currencies, mitigating the effects of U.S. monetary policy on emerging economies. Geopolitically, BRICS membership empowers Indonesia to advocate for equitable global reforms and champion the perspectives of the Global South. By balancing alliances with both Global South and Global North, Indonesia aims to enhance its autonomy, assert its international influence, and reinforce its commitment to a multipolar world order. This article assesses the potential economic and geopolitical autonomy for Indonesia in a shifting global landscape.

Keywords: BRICS, de-dollarization, U.S. dollar, Indonesia, international trade

The False Promise of Belt And Road Initiative: Case Study of Indigenous Land Dispossesion in North Maluku, Tapanuli, North Kalimantan, and Riau Islands (Rempang)

China and India’s Competition in the Global South: Opportunities for Indonesia?

Vol. VI / No. 2 | March 2025

Authors:
Rachmasari Nur Al-Husin, Associate researcher at Department of International Relations, Universitas Indonesia.

Summary
Indonesia’s aspiration to join BRICS, an economic bloc consisting of Global South countries, reflects its strategic ambition to expand its economic role. However, competition between China and India shapes the dynamics of the Global South. China’s economic diplomacy through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and India’s emphasis on cultural diplomacy and innovation add complexity to Indonesia’s position. Amid these dynamics, Indonesia faces a strategic decision: whether to align with one of the powers, maintain a balanced relationship with both, or remain neutral. This decision also comes during a national leadership transition, which could influence the direction of Indonesia’s foreign policy, particularly in navigating strategic competition within the Global South.

Keywords: Global South, BRICS, South-South Cooperation, Pragmatism, Economic Interests

The False Promise of Belt And Road Initiative: Case Study of Indigenous Land Dispossesion in North Maluku, Tapanuli, North Kalimantan, and Riau Islands (Rempang)

Pragmatism at What Limitations? Indonesia’s Changing Position Towards AUKUS

Vol. VI / No. 1 | March 2025

Authors:
Ali Abdullah Wibisono, Associate Professor in International Relations Department, Faculty of Social and Political Sciences, Universitas Indonesia.

Summary
Although the AUKUS coalition is advertised by its member states as defense technology cooperation, it is perceived by China as a maritime alliance and a strategic challenge for it. A number of observers in the United States and Australia have also interpreted AUKUS as a policy of forming a timely collective defense as a deterrent against China. In other words, although AUKUS is not officially intended to target or contain a particular country, China and non-officials from AUKUS states frame the coalition as a containment strategy. On the other hand, AUKUS does not stand in a vacuum, but rather among countries that are not yet fully able to meet their national security needs independently and depend on one of the great powers to meet their needs. To what extent will closeness to one of the great powers invite punitive or rebuke actions from other great powers is a very relevant question if the great powers are the United States and China. Some countries in the Indo-Pacific region such as Australia and the Philippines have decided to no longer hedge against China and the US, because they perceive that the structure of the balance of power and competition between the US and China has resulted in their national interests being better met by balancing with the US against China. However, for some other countries, including Indonesia, choosing between one of the binary options is not a good idea because it is not seen as a choice that contributes to national security. This article argues that Indonesia’s response to AUKUS from 2021 to the present has changed from a cautious and sceptic position into a pragmatic one, projecting possibilities for cooperation with the minilateral mechanism. Such pragmatism has been based on the notion that US-China rivalry should be perceived not as a zero-sum game but a rather a dynamic from which Indonesia should garner positive gains.

Keywords:AUKUS, Indonesia, China, Strategic Independence, South China Sea

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