Australia-Indonesia’s New Security Treaty: A Blast from the Past

Australia-Indonesia’s New Security Treaty: A Blast from the Past

Vol. VI / No. 8 | December 2025

Authors:
Ristian Atriandi Supriyanto
Lecturer, Department of International Relations, FISIP, Universitas Indonesia.
His doctoral thesis analyses Australia-Indonesia relations during the Cold War

Summary

The 2025 Australia-Indonesia Treaty on Common Security (TCS) represents a “blast from the past”—a significant yet retrospective development in bilateral relations. Much like the 1995 Agreement on Maintaining Security (AMS), the TCS prioritizes mutual consultation regarding ambiguous “adverse challenges” rather than committing to specific common actions. While the treaty allows leaders to jointly meet external security challenges, it remains distinct from the 2024 Defence Cooperation Agreement (DCA), which focuses on practical interoperability. However, the TCS relies heavily on the personal rapport between Australia’s Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Indonesia’s President Prabowo Subianto, mirroring the Keating-Suharto relationship that underpinned the short-lived AMS. Given elite trust is often transient, the TCS cannot rely solely on top-down political signals. Instead, successful security cooperation requires “ground-up” institutionalization to address concrete external threats and ensure the relationship survives beyond current political tenures.

Keywords: Australia-Indonesia Relations, Treaty on Common Security (TCS), Security Cooperation, Strategic-Trust, Institutionalization

Australia-Indonesia’s New Security Treaty: A Blast from the Past

Takaichi’s Rise in Japan: Navigating the Future of Japan-Indonesia Relations

Vol. VI / No. 8 | December 2025

Authors:
Chaula Rininta Anindya
Lecturer at the Department of International Relations, Universitas Indonesia, focusing on Strategic Studies. The views expressed are her own

Summary

Japan has elected its very first Female Prime Minister, Takaichi Sanae.  Takaichi went through a great deal in securing the prime minister’s seat. She finally won the ruling party, the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP)’s presidential position after her third bid. Following her victory in the LDP’s presidential election, she witnessed the collapse of the 26-year coalition between LDP and Komeito (Kamata, 2025). She almost failed to secure the necessary number of votes to become the prime minister. Yet, the last-minute deal with Nippon Ishin no Kai revived her chance (The Japan Times, 2025). What will be the future of Japan under Takaichi’s leadership? This commentary will focus on the prospect of Indonesia-Japan relations under PM Takaichi. The article will firstly discuss the background of PM Takaichi. Then, it will analyse the plausible regional dynamics by identifying Takaichi’s prior actions before the election. Lastly, this commentary will examine the future of Indonesia-Japan relations, emphasising two issues: Takaichi’s ambition on Japan’s regional defence posture and the growing sentiment of foreigners in Japan.

Keywords: Japan, Indonesia, Takaichi Sanae, Free and Open Indo-Pacific (FOIP), Immigration Policy

Australia-Indonesia’s New Security Treaty: A Blast from the Past

Strategic Cyber Diplomacy: Indonesia’s Path

Vol. VI / No. 7 | December 2025

Authors:
Ali A. Wibisono, Ph.D.
Associate Professor of International Security Studies, Department of International Relations, Universitas Indonesia

Summary

Cyber diplomacy is a critical tool for managing digital opportunities and risks, extending statecraft into the borderless virtual domain. Indonesia’s approach is spearheaded by the National Cyber and Crypto Agency (BSSN), which focuses on national security and technical capacity, and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA), which promotes international law and a peaceful cyberspace. Globally, Indonesia supports the UN’s efforts, including the transition to a permanent “Global Mechanism” for dialogue on ICTs in international security. However, the nation faces a strategic gap: despite extensive diplomatic cooperation, including agreements with countries like China focused on capacity building, Indonesia remains a primary target for state-sponsored cyberattacks, such as those attributed to the China-linked Winnti APT. This highlights that “soft” diplomatic closeness has not prevented “hard” cyber aggression. To bridge this gap, the article recommends strategic reforms: deepening multilateral engagement by formally detailing its stance on international cyber law , strengthening the domestic legal framework with a comprehensive Cyber Security Bill , and shifting focus from reactive defense to proactive threat hunting and technical attribution. Ultimately, a “Whole-of-Nation” approach is mandatory to achieve digital sovereignty.

Keywords: Cyber Diplomacy, Digital Sovereignty, Cyber Attribution, Confidence Building Measures (CBMs), Advanced Persistent Threats (APT), Indonesia

Australia-Indonesia’s New Security Treaty: A Blast from the Past

The False Promise of Belt And Road Initiative: Case Study of Indigenous Land Dispossesion in North Maluku, Tapanuli, North Kalimantan, and Riau Islands (Rempang)

Vol. VI / No. 6 | September 2025

Authors:
Gibraltar Andibya Muhammad & Rozan Firdaus Permana,
Department Assistant, University of Indonesia

Summary
This commentary explores the adverse impacts of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) on local indigenous communities in Indonesia. The paper highlights how infrastructure projects under BRI have led to significant socio-cultural disruptions, including displacement of indigenous peoples and loss of traditional lands, which are critical to their cultural heritage and identity, mainly in North Maluku, Tapanuli, North Kalimantan, and Riau Islands (Rempang). Furthermore, it addresses environmental degradation resulting from large-scale construction activities such as deforestation, habitat destruction, and pollution, which threaten biodiversity and the livelihoods of local communities. The study calls for a balanced approach that considers the rights and needs of indigenous populations while pursuing developmental projects.

Keywords: Belt and Road Inititative (BRI), indigenous communities, development, environment 

Australia-Indonesia’s New Security Treaty: A Blast from the Past

Baby Bonds and the Quest for Socioeconomic Equality in Indonesia

Vol. VI / No. 5 | July 2025

Authors:
Tora Pandito, BSc Graduate from the Faculty of Economics at the University of Brawijaya, and former Researcher at United Nations Association

Summary
 Indonesia’s socioeconomic progress has been marked by declining poverty alongside with rising inequality. One promising policy gaining traction in developed countries is the concept of Baby Bonds, which provides publicly funded trust accounts for every child at birth, offering greater financial support to those from lower-income families. By helping households gradually accumulate assets, Baby Bonds could enhance social mobility and reduce intergenerational poverty. However, successfully adapting this policy to Indonesia will require careful attention to regional disparities, low financial literacy, and unequal access to financial services. Effective implementation will also depend on strong regulations, targeted financial education, and investments in inclusive financial infrastructure. Sustainable financing will call for tax reforms that raise tax revenue without overburdening existing taxpayers, while international experience and pilot programs can offer practical guidance. Complementary policies and ongoing evaluation will help tailor Baby Bonds to Indonesia’s context, and if thoughtfully designed and supported, this initiative could foster greater socioeconomic inclusion and a more resilient, equitable future.

Keywords: Baby Bonds, socioeconomic inequality, political economy, poverty reduction

Australia-Indonesia’s New Security Treaty: A Blast from the Past

Geopolitical Dualism: The Strategic Dissonance of Philippine Defence Posture in the Shadow of U.S.-China Rivalry

Vol. VI / No. 4 | July 2025

Authors:
Christopher Paller Gerale, Student at State University of Malang, Indonesia

Summary
The Philippines occupies a geostrategically pivotal position in the Indo-Pacific, yet its defence posture reveals a profound lack of harmony between declaratory principles and operational conduct. While it concurrently espouses a doctrine of independent foreign policy, Manila amplifies its security alignment with Washington—manifested through the expansion of the Enhanced Defence Cooperation Agreement (EDCA), increased joint military exercises such as the annual Exercise Balikatan (Shoulder-to-shoulder), and the revival of strategic interoperability—and sustains economic entanglements with Beijing. This split in strategic direction underscores a deeper phenomenon of geopolitical dualism, wherein Manila’s external alignments and internal narratives remain discordant. Rather than a calibrated hedging strategy, the Philippines exhibits ad hoc and reactive behaviour, shaped by elite fragmentation, institutional incoherence, and enduring postcolonial imbalances rooted in colonial history. In the context of an increasingly volatile U.S.-China strategic competition, such dissonance not only compromises national security credibility but also exacerbates the risks of entrapment, abandonment, strategic marginalization, and regional instability in regards to ASEAN Centrality. Rectifying this incoherence necessitates a fundamental rearticulation of Philippine grand strategy—one that is grounded in sovereign agency, coherent threat perception, and a long-term vision for its role within the regional security architecture.

Keywords: Geopolitical Dualism; Strategic Dissonance; Philippine Defence Posture; the Philippines; US-China Rivalry

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